Each month I generate San Francisco market data that I publish in my free e-newsletter and also use in presentations to clients. I track the current average listing and sold prices of homes, condos and 2-4 unit buildings over a 30-day period to give a historical perspective and compare those prices to what they were a year ago. It gives a pretty good generalized picture of the market in San Francisco.
What develops over time is a backdrop snapshot of the market that can be focused when needed to a specific area of a town.
A problem develops when you attempt to focus the data because the MLS uses averaged data, which is accurate only when a large number of data plots are available. The alternative is to use median data. Many newspaper reports are generated using median data, which reflects the middle number of a set of values. The problem is that the outlying numbers in a series of sold prices could be the artificially lower prices of a foreclosure sale. This affects the result and in certain cases shows a much lower value that could give a false impression of current sale prices to a client.
So, if averaged data is inaccurate without enough data points and median data can be artificially affected by foreclosure sales, what do we do? Give up? Not so fast silly rabbit! What I do is use my monthly San Francisco sales data figures as the background for what the larger market is doing. Then when I price a home in say Pacific Heights, I use the same procedure, but if I find I don’t have enough sales or data points, then I actually use a median figure, or the middle value in the set of recent sold prices. To verify the generalized picture, I then search for a recent comparable Sold property, as a true test of the figures I come up with for a client.
Here is the current monthly data I will be using in this month’s newsletter. You can always receive it for Free by going to my website BillWygant.com and signing up.
San Francisco Market Data as of Monday August 31, 2009
Currently there are 494 Single Family Homes, 1059 Condos/TIC/Lofts and 236 2-4-unit buildings listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service in Districts 1-9 in San Francisco.
Last 30 Days:
195 Single Family Homes sold after an average of 58 days on the market
- Average Listing Price was $1,013,236
- Average Selling Price was $1,070,768
257 Condo/T.I.C/Loft sold after an average of 87 days on the market
- Average Listing Price was $835,433
- Average Selling Price was $825,310
44 2-4 Unit Buildings sold after an average of 75 days on the market
- Average Listing Price was $1,065,085
- Average Selling Price was $1,065,429
Same 30-day period 1 year ago:
161 Single Family Homes sold after an average of 52 days on the market
- Average Listing Price was $1,273,806
- Average Selling Price was $1,273,231
219 Condos/TIC/Lofts sold after an average of 68 days on the market
- Average Listing Price was $819,242
- Average Selling Price was $819,273
35 2-4 Unit Buildings sold after an average of 61 days on the market
- Average Listing Price was $1,494,363
- Average Selling Price was $1,469,986
The information is based on:
A 3 bedroom 2 bath home of approximately 1761 sq ft., a 2 bedroom 1.5 bathroom Condo of approximately 1,265 sq ft. and a 2-4 unit building of approximately 2,928 sq ft.
- All data subject to ERRORS, OMISSIONS, or REVISIONS and is NOT WARRANTED. – Copyright: 2006 by San Francisco Assoc of REALTORS Copyright©2007 Rapattoni
Posted By:
Bill Wygant